Support for Prop. 2 inching toward 50 percent
Voter support for Suggestion ii, a new version of a state upkeep rainy mean solar day fund, hasincreased from a calendar month ago, only is still shy of the majority backing that Gov. Jerry Chocolate-brown volition need to laissez passer his signature election measure out, according to a poll released on Midweek.
With less than 2 weeks before the November. iv election, 49 percentage of probable voters said they favor Prop. ii, while 34 pct said no, with 17 percent undecided, the survey by the Public Policy Establish of California found. That's upward half dozen percent points from September, when information technology had 43 percent back up, 33 percent opposed and 24 pct undecided.
Prop. ii would strengthen the existing savings account for the General Fund by increasing its size, restricting when money from it could be used and requiring that at least a couple of billion dollars exist fed into it annually. In add-on, information technology would divert potentially billions of dollars more in receipts from the capital gains revenue enhancement, the most volatile source of land acquirement, in years when revenues ran to a higher place average.
Prop. 2 would establish a separate rainy mean solar day fund for K-12 schools and community colleges, although it would rarely be used; a number of conditions would have to be met before whatsoever dollars could exist diverted into information technology. However, all of the big didactics organizations and lobbies either oppose Prop. 2 or take taken no position on it. Along with ambivalence toward a rainy mean solar day fund for education, they oppose a related statute that would restrict the size of districts' upkeep reserves in years when the state rainy solar day account is funded.
Working in Chocolate-brown'south favor is a multi-million-dollar ad campaign leading up to Election Dayand the lack of moneyed opposition to counter his message. Two years ago, Brown waited until the final weeks before the election to unleash ads that were credited for the passage of Proposition 30, a temporary tax increase.
"Brownish understands the electorate and recognizes this is the time when people will get focused," said Mark Baldassare, president of the Public Policy Institute of California.
The survey of 1,704 adults, with a 4.6 percent margin of mistake, was taken from Oct. 12 to xix, when Brown had only put his campaign in gear. In the ads, Chocolate-brown is linking Prop. 2 and Prop. 1, the $seven.5 billion water conservation and dam construction measure that is polling better, with 56 percent support, 32 percent opposed and only 12 pct undecided, co-ordinate to the poll. In the latest advertizement, Brown touts both propositions, maxim Prop. 1 "saves water" while Prop. 2 "saves coin."
Information technology makes sense to "ride Prop. two on the coattails of Prop. 1," Baldassare said.
Chocolate-brown still has to make the case for Prop. 2 to Democrats. While 68 percentage of Democrats support the water bond, only 53 percentage dorsum Prop. 2, forth with 49 percent of Republicans and independents. Republicans and Democrats in the Legislature unanimously passed Prop. ii, just "it has not been getting stiff back up among what y'all view as natural constituencies, Republicans and conservatives," Baldassare said.
The poll found that a third of voters view the outcome of Prop. 2 every bit very of import, and 62 per centum say the state's budget situation is a big problem. However, that'southward down from 80 percent two years ago and xc percent four years agone.
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Source: https://edsource.org/2014/support-for-prop-2-inching-toward-50-percent/68895
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